{"id":496,"date":"2010-09-01T05:55:35","date_gmt":"2010-09-01T05:55:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/pawel.stefanoff.pl\/work\/?post_type=projects&#038;p=496"},"modified":"2026-04-22T20:00:42","modified_gmt":"2026-04-22T20:00:42","slug":"project-tbe-risk-en","status":"publish","type":"projects","link":"https:\/\/pawel.stefanoff.pl\/work\/projects\/project-tbe-risk-en\/","title":{"rendered":"Tick-borne encephalitis risk based on different data sources"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"644\" src=\"https:\/\/pawel.stefanoff.pl\/work\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/jhxvbR-BI8PVQ-7-1024x644.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-495\" srcset=\"https:\/\/pawel.stefanoff.pl\/work\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/jhxvbR-BI8PVQ-7-1024x644.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/pawel.stefanoff.pl\/work\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/jhxvbR-BI8PVQ-7-300x189.jpg 300w, https:\/\/pawel.stefanoff.pl\/work\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/jhxvbR-BI8PVQ-7-768x483.jpg 768w, https:\/\/pawel.stefanoff.pl\/work\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/jhxvbR-BI8PVQ-7-1536x965.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/pawel.stefanoff.pl\/work\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/jhxvbR-BI8PVQ-7-2048x1287.jpg 2048w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">I started this project during my Master of Science thesis in 2004, when I developed a model to predict tick-borne encephalitis (TBE) risk in Poland based on landscape, meteorologic and socio-demographic characteristics. In 2005-2017, I developed a series of investigations aimed at identifying the best way to measure TBE risk and especially how to improve surveillance. Within this project I evaluated the existing surveillance system, I implemented serological surveys of humans and household animals, collected representative pools of ticks to measure TBE virus prevalence in ticks, I evaluated clinical management of patients and vaccination programmes. Within this project I also carried out a unique nationwide case-control study of TBE risk factors. As a project closure, I fitted a powerful statistical model trying to predict TBE risk based on a set of landscape, meteorological and socio-demographic characterists measured at the lowest possible resolution. It was probably my most impactful contribution, which resulted in two theses, a dozen of peer-reviewed publications and some 30 presentations on peer-reviewed conferences.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Why does it matter?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">These investigations can help in better monitoring of tick-borne encephalitis risk areas. When efficiently monitored, municipalities could offer vaccination to people at risk and GPs could offer vaccination to tourists visiting those areas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Related to<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Surveillance of human TBE cases:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><u><a href=\"https:\/\/pawel.stefanoff.pl\/work\/en\/articles\/article-2005-tbe-casedef-en\/\">Stefanoff et al. Euro Surveill 2005; 10: 23-5.<\/a><\/u><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><u><a href=\"https:\/\/pawel.stefanoff.pl\/work\/en\/articles\/article-2005-tickborne-dis-en\/\">Stefanoff et al. Przegl Epidemiol 2005; 60 Suppl. 1: 151-159.<\/a><\/u><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><u><a href=\"https:\/\/pawel.stefanoff.pl\/work\/en\/articles\/article-2011-cns-infections-en\/\">Stefanoff et al. Euro Surveill 2011; 16. pii: 19924.<\/a><\/u><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/pawel.stefanoff.pl\/work\/en\/other-publications\/other-2012-tbe-overview-en\/\"><u>Report for the European Centre for Disease Control (ECDC), Stockholm, 2011<\/u>.<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><u><a href=\"https:\/\/pawel.stefanoff.pl\/work\/en\/articles\/article-2013-tbe-foci-en\/\">Stefanoff et al. Parasit Vectors 2013; 6: 180: doi: 10.1186\/1756-3305-6-180.<\/a><\/u><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><u><a href=\"https:\/\/pawel.stefanoff.pl\/work\/en\/articles\/article-2014-tbe-crossborder-en\/\">Stefanoff et al. Cent Eur J Public Health 2014; 22(1): 54-9.<\/a><\/u><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Assessing human risk based on serological surveys, surveys of ticks and household animals:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/pawel.stefanoff.pl\/work\/en\/articles\/article-2008-tbe-foci-en\/\"><u>Stefanoff et al. Int J Med Microbiol 2008; 298 (Suppl. 1): 102-107<\/u>.<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/pawel.stefanoff.pl\/work\/en\/articles\/article-2010-tbe-milk-en\/\"><u>Balogh et al. J Virol Methods 2010; 163: 481-5<\/u>.<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/pawel.stefanoff.pl\/work\/en\/articles\/article-2013-tbev-ticks-en\/\"><u>Stefanoff et al. Zoonoses Public Health 2013; 60(3): 215-26<\/u>.<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Other investigations (risk factors, clinical management or vaccination programmes):<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><u><a href=\"https:\/\/pawel.stefanoff.pl\/work\/en\/articles\/article-2011-tbe-surveil-vacc-en\/\">Stefanoff et al. Vaccine 2011; 29: 1283-8.<\/a><\/u><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><u><a href=\"https:\/\/pawel.stefanoff.pl\/work\/en\/articles\/article-2012-tbe-cc-study-en\/\">Stefanoff et al. PLoS One. 2012;7(9):e45511.<\/a><\/u><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><u><a href=\"https:\/\/pawel.stefanoff.pl\/work\/en\/articles\/article-2015-tbe-predictors-en\/\">Zielicka-Hardy et al. Infect Dis (Lond) 2015;47(9):604-10.<\/a><\/u><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Overall conclusions and modelling of TBE risk:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/pawel.stefanoff.pl\/work\/en\/theses\/thesis-2004-tbe-risk-en\/\"><u>Master of Science in Epidemiology, SUNY at Albany School of Public Health, Albany, NY, 2004<\/u>.<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/pawel.stefanoff.pl\/work\/en\/articles\/article-2008-tbe-weather-en\/\"><u>Ustrnul et al. Annals of Geomatics 2008; 6(2): 113-120<\/u>.<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/pawel.stefanoff.pl\/work\/en\/articles\/article-2008-tbe-ecologic-en\/\"><u>Stefanoff et al. Przegl Epidemiol 2008; 62 Supl. 1: 112-121<\/u>.<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/pawel.stefanoff.pl\/work\/en\/theses\/thesis-2018-tbe-risk-en\/\"><u>Habilitation degree in health sciences, Warsaw Medical University, Warsaw, 2018<\/u>.<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/pawel.stefanoff.pl\/work\/en\/articles\/article-2018-tbe-model-en\/\"><u>Stefanoff et al. Int J Environ Res Public Health 2018; 15(4). pii: E677<\/u>.<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A series of investigations aimed at identifying the best way to measure TBE risk among humans.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"featured_media":495,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false},"class_list":["post-496","projects","type-projects","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/pawel.stefanoff.pl\/work\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/projects\/496","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/pawel.stefanoff.pl\/work\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/projects"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/pawel.stefanoff.pl\/work\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/projects"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/pawel.stefanoff.pl\/work\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/495"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/pawel.stefanoff.pl\/work\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=496"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}